Rules
1 – Must be at least 8 horses on Printout after scratchings.
2 – Box the top 5 horses on Printout provided they all have a Select Rating of 15 or more. This means 60 permutations for a box trifecta and 120 permutations for a box first four.
Results
These are calculated on a $20 investment, i.e, 1/3 of the dollar trifecta dividend and 1/6 of the dollar first four dividend.
Test period was from 1/7/2011 to 28/2/2014 (2 years, 8 months)
Trifectas Bets 1649 Outlay $32980 Return $33469 Profit $489 (1.5% on turnover)
First Fours Bets 1649 Outlay $32980 Return $48927 Profit $15947 (48.4% on turnover)
In the test period, there were 273 successful trifectas and 108 successful first fours. The first four results look spectacular, but depend on a few very large dividends. In fact, there were 5 first fours that paid in excess of $10,000 for $1. If you use this method you will need lots of patience, as the results indicate that only one bet in 15 will be successful.
See 2013 Betting Challenge results